Faculty Sponsor

Sonya Bahar

Final Abstract for URS Program

In an agent-based model of evolutionary dynamics which has been shown to undergo a nonequilibrium phase transition from extinction to survival, we apply coalescent theory to investigate the responses of population lineages to simulated mass extinctions. In the model, organisms reproduce via assortative mating on a neutral fitness landscape; parameters including the mutability (distance offspring may be distributed away from their parents in the fitness landscape) and the death parameter (percentage of organisms randomly removed during each generation) control the phase transition. Lineage structure can be characterized using the time to most recent common ancestor (TMRCA). We examine how this measure is affected by mass extinction applied in the critical regime of the phase transition, as opposed to in the survival regime. These results have implications for predicting population recovery and designing strategies for evolutionary rescue.

Presentation Type

Visual Presentation

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

April 2023

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